Real-Time Probability
Updated predictions based on today's pitcher matchup and recent form
Predict Shohei Ohtani's Home Run Probability in Real-Time
AI-powered predictions using official MLB data and advanced analytics
Get instant insights into Shohei Ohtani's home run chances for today's game
Key Features
Everything you need to track Shohei's performance
Season Rankings
Compare Shohei's stats with MLB's top home run hitters
Annual Pace Projection
Track if Shohei is on pace to break season records
How to Use
Get started in 3 simple steps
1
Check Today's Game
Visit the probability page to see if there's a game today and view the opposing pitcher
2
Understand the Probability
Review the calculated probability and factors affecting today's prediction
3
Explore Stats
Dive deeper into rankings and season projections for more insights
Baseball Stats Glossary
Understanding the key metrics
Home Run Rate
Percentage of at-bats resulting in home runs. Calculated as (Home Runs ÷ At Bats) × 100
OPS
On-base Plus Slugging - combines on-base percentage and slugging percentage to measure overall hitting ability
WHIP
Walks plus Hits per Inning Pitched - measures pitcher's ability to prevent baserunners
ERA
Earned Run Average - average number of earned runs a pitcher allows per nine innings
vs LHP/RHP
Performance statistics against Left-Handed Pitchers or Right-Handed Pitchers
How We Calculate Probability
Our prediction model considers multiple factors
Career home run rate as baseline
Performance vs left/right-handed pitchers
Opposing pitcher's home run allowed rate
Recent form (last 10 games)
Ballpark factors
Historical matchup data